• Kevin Pollard & Tony Bosworth

COVID by the numbers – Wednesday - 4 new Hawkesbury cases - aged care visits if fully vaxxed Oct 11

Welcome to Wednesday evening and the latest in-depth Hawkesbury numbers and COVID local news – the numbers are up to 8pm on Tuesday night.

This is the most up-to-date round-up of Hawkesbury COVID numbers you can get, compiled by numbers guru Kevin Pollard using NSW Health datasets.

Our thanks, as always, to Kevin for putting the numbers together in this easily accessible format.

Coupled with our regular news updates when we hear about new COVID venues, this builds into a useful daily source of information for Hawkesbury residents.

Today’s headlines:

* There are 4 new COVID cases today in the Hawkesbury – all linked

* There are 87 active COVID cases in the Hawkesbury (was 98 yesterday)

* Of the 863 new NSW cases (was 863 yesterday) reported to 8pm, Tuesday, September 28 - 34 (was 53 yesterday) are from Nepean Blue Mountains Local Health District, which includes the Hawkesbury.

* The 34 new cases in Nepean Blue Mountains LHD reported today is the lowest since 26 new cases were reported on August 17 - 43 days ago.

* There were 120,281 COVID-19 tests reported to 8pm last night, compared with the previous day’s total of 132,279.

* NSW Health staff have been told to get vaccinated or be placed on unpaid leave if they do not meet this Thursday’s mandatory vaccination deadline of one vaccine shot. By the end of today, NSW expects 97.5% of NSW Health’s 140,000 staff will have received at least one dose.

* NSW Premier Gladys Berejiklian confirms today visits to aged care will be allowed – but only if fully vaxxed – from October 11 onwards.

* The Premier says NSW is carefully considering whether schools can go back earlier than October 25.

* Smokers are up to 6 times more likely to die from COVID than non-smokers, according to new research led by Oxford University. Smokers are 80% more likely to be admitted to hospital with the virus than non-smokers, says the research.

* New Australian Bureau of Statistics data shows suicide, drug overdoses and car crash death rates decreased in 2020. COVID was the 38th leading cause of death (898 deaths). In 2020, there was a decrease in mortality in Australia overall with the five leading causes of death decreasing, with a significant reduction in respiratory diseases. Alcohol-induced death rates increased by 8.3% in 2020.

* International travellers could be able to return home to Australia without 7-day home quarantine in the future under a “test and release” COVID protocol being used overseas.

* NSW - 63.3% fully vaccinated and 87.1% first dose

* 48.1% of 12-15 year olds have had one dose.

* The first vaccine administered in NSW for 12-15 year olds was on September 13, so to get to 48% one dose in the first 17 days is impressive.

Doherty Institute modelling - their expected peaks for NSW from September 5:

3434 (could even be as high as 3900) in hospital

947 patients in ICU (late Oct/early Nov)

3000 cases per day

Highest so far:

1268 in hospital (Sept 21)

242 in ICU (Sept 14)

123 on a ventilator (Sept 18)

1599 cases (Sept 11)

Hawkesbury postcodes with new cases in the last 24 hours

* 2 in the 2756 postcode (Windsor, Sackville, Wilberforce, Bligh Park, Clarendon, Ebenezer, Mulgrave, Pitt Town, South Windsor, Freemans Reach, McGraths Hill, Upper Colo, Central Colo, Colo Heights, Lower Portland, Glossodia)

* 1 in the 2753 postcode (Richmond, Richmond Lowlands, Londonderry, Grose Vale, Grose Wold, Bowen Mountain, Hobartville, Yarramundi, Agnes Banks

* 1 in the 2754 postcode (North Richmond, Tennyson, The Slopes)

Total active COVID cases in the Hawkesbury - and postcodes they are in

* 53 in the 2756 postcode (Windsor, Sackville, Wilberforce, etc) - was 59 yesterday

* 26 in the 2753 postcode (Richmond, Londonderry, Grose Vale, etc) - was 29 yesterday

* 7 in the 2754 postcode (North Richmond, Tennyson, The Slopes) - was 8 yesterday

* 1 in the 2758 postcode (Bilpin, East Kurrajong, Kurrajong, Kurrajong Heights, Kurajong Hills, Mountain Lagoon, Wheeny Creek Mount Tomah, Berambing, Blaxlands Ridge, Devils Wilderness) - was 2 yesterday

* 0 in the 2775 postcode (Wisemans Ferry, Macdonald Valley, Spencer) - was 0 yesterday.

COVID deaths and hospital numbers – 15 deaths in the last 24 hours - none in the Hawkesbury

NSW Health is today reporting the deaths of 15 people with COVID – 8 men and 7 women.

Two people were in their 40s, two in their 50s, four people in their 60s, 3 in their 70s, one in their 80s, and 3 in their 90s.

One person had received 2 doses of a COVID vaccine, 5 people had received one dose of a COVID vaccine, and 9 were not vaccinated.

Five were from south western Sydney

Three were from western Sydney

One was from Sydney’s inner west

One was from south eastern Sydney

One was from Sydney’s eastern suburbs

One person was from Newcastle

One person was from Lake Macquarie

One person was from Dubbo

One person was from Bateman’s Bay.

A man in his 40s from western Sydney died at Nepean Hospital. He was not vaccinated and had underlying health conditions.

Two people from south western Sydney who died acquired their infections at Liverpool Hospital – a man in his 60s and a woman in her 90s.

Two people died at home: a man in his 40s from Lake Macquarie was not vaccinated and was receiving care in the community from Hunter New England Local Health District. He had underlying health conditions.

A woman in her 70s from Batemans Bay who died at home had received two doses of a COVID vaccine but had only received the second dose shortly before her death. She had underlying health conditions and was diagnosed with COVID following her death.

There have been 333 COVID-related deaths in NSW since this Delta outbreak started on June 16.

In at least 39 of those deaths, the deceased were fully vaccinated.

At least 32 of the 333 have died at home. 17 of those 32 who died at home didn't know they had COVID at the time of death.

There are 1082 COVID patients in hospital (was 1,155 yesterday), with 212 (213 yesterday) in ICU, 108 (113 yesterday) of whom require ventilation.

There are 10,362 active COVID cases in NSW.

There have been 55,570 locally acquired cases reported since June 16, when the first case in this outbreak was reported.

By the end of today, September 29 of those aged 16 and over:

There are 4100 COVID positive people in NSW receiving hospital grade care in the community.

Big thanks to Kevin Pollard for crunching the numbers.

Our source information - link to NSW Health figures:


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