• Kevin Pollard & Tony Bosworth

COVID by the numbers – Saturday – 1 new Hawkesbury case – 80% fully vaxxed likely by Oct 18

Updated: Oct 11



Welcome to Saturday evening and the latest in-depth Hawkesbury numbers and COVID local news – the numbers are up to 8pm on Friday night.

This is the most up-to-date round-up of Hawkesbury COVID numbers you can get, compiled by numbers guru Kevin Pollard using NSW Health datasets.


Our thanks, as always, to Kevin for putting the numbers together in this easily accessible format.


Coupled with our regular news updates when we hear about new COVID venues, this builds into a useful daily source of information for Hawkesbury residents.



Today’s headlines:



* 1 new case in the Hawkesbury – linked to other known cases.


* There are 21 active COVID cases in the Hawkesbury (was 27 yesterday).

* There are 368 active COVID cases (was 384 yesterday) in the Nepean Blue Mountains Local Health District, which includes the Hawkesbury.

* There are 7296 (was 7604 yesterday) active COVID cases in NSW.


* Of the 580 new NSW cases (was 646 yesterday) reported to 8pm, Friday, October 8 - 41 (was 35 yesterday, 20, 33, 28, 15, 42 the days before that) are from Nepean Blue Mountains LHD.


* There have been 62,384 locally acquired cases reported since June 16, when the first case in this outbreak was reported.


* There were 79,894 COVID-19 tests reported to 8pm last night, compared with the previous days’: 103,388, 112,186, 90,680, 85,642, 76,892, 88,210, 98,266 and 112,334 tests.


* While the Hawkesbury is looking pretty good on the figures over the last few days, our neighbours Penrith are not sitting so comfortably, with new cases in the Penrith LGA in the last 4 days at 35 today and 31, 19, 30 cases on previous days.


* Re: the concern about cases increasing from illegal parties from the NRL Grand Final last Sunday night - there was an increase of 59 cases in NSW yesterday (from 587 to 646) from 103k tests but 66 less cases today (646 down to 580) from 80k tests.


* The NSW VaxPass (digital vaccine passport) is in the testing phase now and in the next few days NSW will begin closed pilots in some regional areas. At this stage, NSW is on track for statewide roll-out of the system on 18 October.


* From this Monday, those who are fully vaccinated will need to show their vaccination status via their My Gov or Medicare Apps on their phone or by going to my.gov.au and the Medicare page before gaining entry into hospitality venues and other businesses. You can also download and print a vaccination confirmation.


* Many hospitality venues are taking bookings only so there may not be a huge amount of walk-ins in the next few weeks.


* As we get closer to Monday, when the Hawkesbury will widely open up, let’s take a quick look at Singapore, which has 91% of its eligible population (aged 12 and over) fully vaccinated. They are seeing rising cases of COVID in Singapore. Cases in the last 5 days: 3590 (today - a record), 3483, 3577, 3486 and 2475.


* 78 of 142 pandemic deaths in Singapore have come in the last 18 days.



Hawkesbury postcodes with new cases in the last 24 hours

* 1 in the 2753 postcode (Richmond, Richmond Lowlands, Londonderry, Grose Vale, Grose Wold, Bowen Mountain, Hobartville, Yarramundi, Agnes Banks).



Total active COVID cases in the Hawkesbury - and postcodes they are in


* 11 in the 2756 postcode (Windsor, Sackville, Wilberforce, Bligh Park, Clarendon, Ebenezer, Mulgrave, Pitt Town, South Windsor, Freemans Reach, McGraths Hill, Upper Colo, Central Colo, Colo Heights, Lower Portland, Glossodia) - was 16 yesterday


* 6 in the 2753 postcode (Richmond, Londonderry, Grose Vale, etc) - was 6 yesterday


* 3 in the 2754 postcode (North Richmond, Tennyson, The Slopes) - was 4 yesterday


* 1 in the 2758 postcode (Bilpin, East Kurrajong, Kurrajong, Kurrajong Heights, Kurrajong Hills, Mountain Lagoon, Wheeny Creek, Mount Tomah, Berambing, Blaxlands Ridge, Devils Wilderness) - was 1 yesterday



NSW COVID vaccination status (of cases during Delta outbreak from June 16 until October 7)


Based on NSW Health Surveillance Reports to September 18 and cases since.

This latest set of figures is from revised NSW Health numbers. The vaccination status of over 30% of cases were under investigation when figures were last available, so there are some changes here.


427 deaths: 70.0% not vaccinated (295 people), 17.0% had received 1 dose (75 people), 13.0% were fully vaccinated (57 people)


1082 in ICU: 84.9% not vaccinated, 10.8% had received 1 dose, 4.3% were fully vaccinated


8383 hospitalised: 80.9% not vaccinated, 10.4% had received 1 dose, 8.7% were fully vaccinated


62,384 cases: 78.7% not vaccinated, 12.9% had received 1 dose, 8.4% were fully vaccinated


Approximately 15,000 of those 62,384 cases in NSW since June 16 were those aged 0-11 years who are not eligible for a vaccine, 12-15 year olds before their first vaccine was available on September 13 and 16-18 year olds before their first vaccine was available on August 14.



Vaccinated numbers - in NSW, by the end of today, October 9 of those aged 16 and over:

16 years and over: 73.5% fully vaccinated and 90.6% first dose.


12-15 year olds: 15.8% fully vaccinated and 68.3% first dose (for comparison, in the ACT it's 9.1% fully vaccinated and 86.7% first dose).


At this rate, NSW will reach 80% fully vaccinated (those 16 and over) by Saturday, October 16 with more restrictions lifted the following Monday, October 18.


Children in kindergarten, year 1, year 2 and year 12 will return to school on October 18, then all remaining grades will go back to school on October 25.



COVID deaths and hospital numbers – 11 deaths in the last 24 hours - none in the Hawkesbury

NSW Health is reporting the deaths of 11 people who had COVID – 3 women and 8 men.


One person was in their 50s, one was in their 60s, four people were in their 70s, two were in their 80s, and three were in their 90s.


Five people were from south-western Sydney, three were from western Sydney, and three were from south-eastern Sydney.


4 were not vaccinated, 3 were fully vaccinated, and 4 had received one dose.


A woman in her 80s died at the Hardi Guildford Aged Care Facility, where she acquired her infection. This is the sixth death associated with an outbreak at the facility.


A woman in her 80s died at the Allity Beechwood Aged Care Facility Revesby, where she acquired her infection. This is the fifth death associated with an outbreak at this facility.


There have been 427 COVID-related deaths in NSW since this Delta outbreak started on June 16.


At least 39 of the 427 have died at home, and of those, 22 didn't know they had COVID at the time of death.


At least 57 of the 427 COVID-related deaths in NSW since June 16 were people who were fully vaccinated.


The 57 deaths among people fully vaccinated were 3 people in their 50s, 3 people in their 60s, 20 people in their 70s, 17 people in their 80s and 14 people in their 90s.


The large majority of the people that were fully vaccinated and died of COVID had underlying health issues, and over half had significant health issues.


Of the 427 COVID deaths: 70% not vaccinated (295 people), 17% had received 1 dose (75 people), 13% were fully vaccinated (57 people)


There are 812 patients with COVID (was 856 yesterday) in hospital, with 163 (170 yesterday) people in ICU, 75 (75 yesterday) of whom require ventilation.


13.1% of active cases are in hospital. 2.6% of active cases are in ICU.




Big thanks to Kevin Pollard for crunching the numbers.

Our source information - link to NSW Health figures:

https://www.nsw.gov.au/covid-19/find-the-facts-about-covid-19






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