• Kevin Pollard & Tony Bosworth

COVID by the numbers – 1 new Hawkesbury case – fully vaxxed still getting COVID



Welcome to Thursday evening and our in-depth Hawkesbury numbers and COVID local news.

This round-up of Hawkesbury COVID numbers is compiled by numbers guru Kevin Pollard using NSW Health datasets, and is up to 8pm on Wednesday evening.

Our thanks, as always, to Kevin for putting the numbers together in this easily accessible format.

Coupled with our regular news updates when we hear about new COVID venues, this builds into a useful daily source of information for Hawkesbury residents.


Today’s headlines:


* 1 new COVID case in the Hawkesbury, linked to other cases.


* There are 10 active COVID cases in the Hawkesbury (was 12 yesterday)

* Dr Marianne Gale from NSW Health provided a 6 minute pre-recorded COVID update at 11am today.

* NSW Health again today (for the 4th day in the last 5 days): "We are continuing to see transmission at gyms, bars and household gatherings indoors in fully vaccinated people. You can still get COVID and pass it on even if fully vaccinated." NSW Health spent close to 3 minutes covering this today.

* From data in Australia and abroad - you have a 20-30% chance of acquiring the Delta variant even if fully vaccinated, but only a 5-15% chance of passing it on if you do acquire the virus while fully vaccinated.

* Vaccine efficacy differs depending on how long after you had your second dose (when the infection occurred), the gap between your first and second dose and the type of vaccine.

* At least 17 confirmed COVID cases are linked to City Gym at Darlinghurst. Exposure over 1 week between October 18-25. Only fully vaccinated are allowed in gyms.

* The gym owner: “We have been notified of 17 confirmed cases of COVID-19 who either attended City Gym, Darlinghurst, while infectious or acquired their infection at the venue."


* Of the 293 new NSW cases (was 305 yesterday) reported to 8pm, Wednesday, October 27 - 11 are from Nepean Blue Mountains LHD.


* In the Nepean Blue Mountains LHD, there were 9 new cases yesterday, 5, 9, 13, 6, 15, 10, 13, 27, 10, 6, 4 on previous days.


* There were 89,678 COVID-19 tests reported to 8pm last night, compared with the previous days of 89,875, 71,352, 59,612, 66,740, 64,118, 76,594, 86,235, 88,664, 90,597 tests.


* A low 0.33% of today’s tests in NSW came back positive. It's the fourth time in the last 9 days where the positive rate was between 0.30% and 0.34% which is low (a good sign).


* Aged care and disability care residents will be offered their third COVID-19 vaccination from today. PM Scott Morrison yesterday: "I was just talking to Jane Malysiak [the first Australian to receive a vaccine shot back on February 21, and it was in Windsor] about getting this booster shot the other day as we received our first dose on the same day. I will also get a booster shot."


* There have been at least 132 school closures due to COVID in NSW since beginning of Term 4 on October 5 (today is the 18th school day since then).


* Not all schools have reported closures so this number would be higher. There are 3107 primary and high schools in NSW.


* No numbers on childcare or before and after school care centres closures.



New COVID cases in the Hawkesbury by postcode



* 1 in the 2758 postcode (Bilpin, East Kurrajong, Kurrajong, Kurrajong Heights, Kurrajong Hills, Mountain Lagoon, Wheeny Creek, Mount Tomah, Berambing, Blaxlands Ridge, Devils Wilderness).



Total active COVID cases in the Hawkesbury - and postcodes they are in



* 6 in the 2758 postcode (Bilpin, East Kurrajong, etc) - was 5 yesterday


* 3 in the 2756 postcode (Windsor, Sackville, Wilberforce, Bligh Park, Clarendon, Ebenezer, Mulgrave, Pitt Town, South Windsor, Freemans Reach, McGraths Hill, Upper Colo, Central Colo, Colo Heights, Lower Portland, Glossodia) - was 6 yesterday


* 1 in the 2753 postcode (Richmond, Richmond Lowlands, Londonderry, Grose Vale, Grose Wold, Bowen Mountain, Hobartville, Yarramundi, Agnes Banks) - was 1 yesterday


* 0 in the 2754 postcode (North Richmond, Tennyson, The Slopes) - was 0 yesterday



COVID deaths and hospital numbers – 2 deaths in the last 24 hours – none in the Hawkesbury


A woman in her 90s died at the Tarrawanna aged care facility, north of Wollongong, where she acquired her infection and is the third death linked to an outbreak at this facility. She was fully vaccinated.


A man in his 70s from south-western Sydney died at St George Hospital. He had received one dose of a COVID vaccine.


There have been 510 COVID-related deaths in NSW since this Delta outbreak started on June 16.


At least 42 of the 510 have died at home and of those, 24 didn't know they had COVID at the time of death.


At least 78 of the 510 COVID-related deaths in NSW since June 16 were fully vaccinated.


The 78 deaths among people fully vaccinated were 4 people in their 50s, 5 people in their 60s, 25 people in their 70s, 23 people in their 80s and 21 people in their 90s.


The large majority of the people that were fully vaccinated and died of COVID had underlying health issues, over half had significant health issues, almost a quarter were in palliative care, some had disabilities.


6.00 million of NSW’s 8.2 million residents are fully vaccinated, 78 of those that were fully vaccinated died of the virus.


There are 381 patients with COVID (was 418 yesterday) in hospital, with 82 (97 yesterday) people in ICU, 38 (57 yesterday) of whom require ventilation.


On September 21 in NSW, 37 days ago there were 1268 in hospital, with 242 people in ICU, 122 of whom require ventilation. That was the peak for hospitalisation and those in ICU in NSW.


There have been 68,796 locally acquired cases reported since June 16, when the first case in this outbreak was reported.



Vaccinated numbers - in NSW, by the end of today, October 28



16 years and over: 86.9% fully vaccinated and 93.7% first dose.


12-15 year olds: 58.5% fully vaccinated and 79.0% first dose.


16-19 year olds: 74.5% fully vaccinated and 88.8% first dose.


All 8.2 million NSW residents (aged 0 and over): 73.2% fully vaccinated and 80.1% first dose.


All 25.9 million Australian residents (aged 0 and over): 62.9% fully vaccinated (approx 16.3 million people) and 73.9% first dose.



NSW COVID vaccination status (of cases during Delta outbreak from June 16 until October 27)


Based on NSW Health Surveillance Reports to October 9, and cases since.



510 COVID deaths: 66.5% were not vaccinated (339 people), 18.2% had received 1 dose (93 people), 15.3% were fully vaccinated (78 people).


1139 in ICU: 84.0% not vaccinated, 11.2% had received 1 dose, 4.8% were fully vaccinated.


8344 hospitalised: 80.4% not vaccinated, 11.1% had received 1 dose, 8.5% were fully vaccinated.


68,796 cases: 77.9% not vaccinated, 13.3% had received 1 dose, 8.8% were fully vaccinated.





Big thanks to Kevin Pollard for crunching the numbers.


Our source information - link to NSW Health figures:

https://www.nsw.gov.au/covid-19/find-the-facts-about-covid-19







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